Bailey’s unfortunate circumstance got me to thinking about another athlete who suffered a bullet wound to the head and how he returned to sports and excelled.
Football is the least of Bailey’s worries for the moment, but if he’s looking for some inspiration as he recovers all he has to do is look north to Tampa and the head coach at the University of South Florida.
Orlando Antigua was wounded in a random shooting in 1987 when he was 16. After healing he went on to earn a basketball scholarship to Pitt. I wrote this story in 2006 when Antigua reached out to Duquesne basketball player Sam Ashalou after he was shot in the head at an on-campus party.
Happy Thanksgiving to all.
The story I wrote about Michael Vick in Tuesday’s Post-Gazette has struck a nerve. If you have not read it, here it is.
In the story, I quote Vick as saying he’d like to play one more year. Nowhere in the story did I ever suggest he should play one more year, that the Steelers should bring him back nor that I believe he played well this season. I let Vick do the talking.
However, as you can see by these emails I received (others were worded too strongly or too ignorantly to print) some readers did not comprehend the story as I wrote it:
--- YOU: I think it is disgraceful that you think Vick should play with the Steelers another year! Not only is he a washed up football player he is a horrible human! And no he has NOT served his time! I suppose you are as uncompassionate as he is! I have been a Steelers fan all my life and I have not watched a game since they signed that POS! The Steelers sold out and for what.... A washed up piece of garbage! Peace out!
ED: Yes, but did you donate your Terrible Towel to a worthy cause?
--- YOU: Ed is it true you think Vick can play one more year with the Steelers? If this is true, seriously, quit drinking the Rooney Kool-Aid. His dog history aside he is washed up and needs to move on.
ED: I prefer cranberry juice, by the way.
--- YOU: I respectfully disagree with you Ed on signing Michael Vick for another year with the Steelers. He is one that gives football a bad name he's a vicious person and should not be entitled to play pro football. You should read his federal indictment, I couldn't even get past the first paragraph. I'm sorry I believe in forgiveness but he went way beyond he tortured these dogs in the third year of his multimillion dollar contract he's no good ! P.s. He stunk with the Eagles and he stinks with the Steelers ! Yuk.
--- YOU: I abhor your devotion to a man who tortured animals.
--- ED: Vick plays for the Steelers, and I cover them – the good, the bad, the ugly. And I save my devotion for family and friends.
--- YOU: I cannot imagine why you think the Steelers should keep Michael Vick for one more minute, let alone another year, when he is costing the team its image and much of its fan base.
ED: Judging by attendance at home and away and the TV ratings, the fan base hasn’t gone anywhere, never mind “much” of it.
--- YOU: You really are a poor excuse for a journalist! Shame on you for supporting an evil, unremorseful monster named Mikey Vick!!!
ED: My job is not to ignore a certain segment of the Steelers roster just because you don’t agree with whom they have on it.
--- YOU: While Vick is a monster, you're pathetic. It's evident you can't be trusted to tell the truth. Leave Pittsburgh and take Vick and Tomlin with you! We don't want your kind here.
ED: And what is that kind?
--- YOU: I am not sure why you feel the need to be a voice for the propaganda machine- but please stop. Can you just report the facts and not be on the payroll for the Vick PR team?
ED: And those facts would be, what? That he does not play for the Steelers? That they did not win two of the three games he started? That he has not slipped from backup to No. 3? That he is not imitating Russell Wilson in practice this week? What?
I’m sure some of you would like us to always write about his past every time we write something about Vick, but that was done when he arrived and now we write about football. I detest what he did too, and he went to jail for it, but the Steelers signed him, he is a member of the team who contributed this year and continues to do so. None of us who cover them can ignore that and I certainly won’t stop writing about what he does on the field because of it.
Thank you all for your feedback.
Overcoming the Cincinnati Bengals to win the AFC North Division title is a long-shot for the Steelers, but there remains a sliver of hope, thanks to the NFL’s tiebreaking system.
Cincinnati’s second straight defeat raised hopes by Steelers fans that their team might overtake the Bengals and win their second straight division crown. At 6-4, the Steelers are two games behind the first-place Bengals, who are 8-2 and they can gain one of those by winning in Cincinnati Dec. 13. If the Bengals lost another and the Steelers won out, they would be tied.
A tie would not do it for the Steelers unless the Bengals also lost to either Cleveland or Baltimore because the first tiebreaker is record within the division. Cincinnati is 3-0 in the division and the Steelers 1-2. The Bengals would have to finish with two division losses and be tied with the Steelers for it to go to the next tiebreaker.
And if it does, that’s where the Steelers have a chance. The next tiebreaker is not, as many believe, the two teams’ records in the AFC. If it were, the Bengals again would have a big edge because they are 7-1 and the Steelers are 3-4. So the Bengals would have to lose three games for the Steelers to even tie in that category.
However, the NFL procedure for breaking ties within the division starts with head-to-head, then goes to best record within the division. The third tiebreaker is best record in common games for the two teams. There, the Bengals still lead with a 5-1 record to the Steelers’ 4-2. However, there is plenty of football to be played in that category as well. Cincinnati has a game Sunday against St. Louis and another at San Francisco Dec. 20. The Steelers beat both teams. Both the Steelers and Bengals then have games left against Cleveland, Denver and Baltimore.
It remains a long shot for the Steelers to overcome the Bengals and win the AFC North. They would have put themselves in great position had they been able to pull out that game against Cincinnati Nov. 1 at Heinz Field; then, they would be tied at 7-3 and perhaps could have determined the division winner at Cincinnati Dec. 13.
But the Bengals prevailed in that one 16-10.
The most logical path to the playoffs for the Steelers remains the wildcard route, and while they are clearly No. 1 with the best record among those not leading the division, four AFC teams are 5-5. They are Buffalo (after losing last night to New England 20-13), the New York Jets, Houston and Kansas City.
There, the tiebreakers are not kind to the Steelers. First is head to head, so Kansas City would beat them out if those two tie. They will have played no other 5-5 AFC teams so the next tiebreaker would be record within the conference, as it would be to break tied with three or more teams. This is where it gets confusing because the next step to break a tie within the division – the Steelers and Bengals, for example – are those common games. But once you get into breaking ties for the wildcard berth outside the division, it is reversed – record within the AFC first and then common games.
Again, the Steelers 3-4 conference record might hurt them. Kansas City has only two losses and Houston three. Buffalo is 5-4 in the AFC and the Jets 4-4.
As some Steelers players said on Monday, they now are in control of whether they make the playoffs or not. The one thing we do know is that if they sweep their final six games, they are in. If they go 5-1, it’s unlikely two other 5-5 teams will sweep their final six, so that should do it also. Go 4-2 and a 10-6 record also should make it.
According to FiveThirtyEight, the Steelers are the ninth strongest team in the NFL and fifth in the AFC. They have a 62 percent chance of making the playoffs, an 11 percent chance of winning the division, a 4 percent chance of earning a first-round bye and a 2 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl.
The New York Times has a playoff simulator and there, the Times gives the Steelers a 56 percent chance to make the playoffs based on 19,400 simulations.
So there you have it. The Steelers have a better chance of making the playoffs than not making them. Their chance of winning the division is a long-shot but not out of the question.
Now all they have to do is play.
The Steelers have started 6-4 three other times in Mike Tomlin’s tenure as head coach. They made the playoffs in only one of those years.
The path to follow is the one they followed last season. After starting 6-4 they barely won at Tennessee and then lost to New Orleans before ripping off four consecutive wins to finish 11-5 and win the division.
The Steelers might not have to win five of six to get into the playoffs this year, but they might have to go 4-2 to get to 10-6. Not only do the Steelers have a poor division record (1-2), but they’re 3-4 in conference games, which is the second tiebreaker for the wild card after head-to-head.
The Steelers will be rooting for the Patriots to beat the Bills (5-4) in Monday Night Football so they can retain the No. 5 seed in the AFC. The Bills would leap-frog the Steelers if they beat the Patriots.
The Steelers also were 6-4 in 2012 and 2009. They went 2-4 and finished 8-8. Of course, they played their 11th game that season without Ben Roethlisberger. Charlie Batch started for the Steelers in Cleveland, and the Steelers lost, 20-14. They also lost to the Chargers, Cowboys and Bengals after that. The losses to the Cowboys and Bengals were by three points. If they won one of those games they would have made the playoffs.
In ’09, they were 6-4 and went 3-3 over their final six to finish 9-7. They missed the playoffs on a tiebreaker to Baltimore. The final three losses in ’09 all were by a touchdown or fewer, including two that were decided by three points.
The Steelers already lost one game they should have won (see Baltimore) and another when they held a fourth quarter lead (see Cincinnati). Another one of those might be the difference between making the playoffs and watching from home.
The Steelers got some help on Sunday. Their slim hopes of repeating as AFC North champs were improved when Arizona beat Cincinnati. The Bengals hold a two-game lead over the Steelers with six remaining.
How big is that loss to the Bengals at Heinz Field now? If the Steelers could have closed that game out they’d be tied with the Bengals with identical 7-3 records with the head-to-head tiebreaker.
As it is, they’re two behind and the Bengals hold the head-to-head edge as well as the better division record, the second tiebreaker after head-to-head.
The wild card remains the most likely path to the playoffs for the Steelers, and they got mixed results there on Sunday. The Jets (5-5), Raiders (4-6) and Dolphins (4-6) all lost, but the Texans (5-5), Colts (5-5) and Chiefs (5-5) all won.
Either the Colts or the Texans will win the AFC South, and the Steelers will be hoping the other falls out of contention. The Steelers play host to the Colts Dec. 6.
How quickly things change in the NFL. Three weeks ago, the Chiefs and Texans were 2-5 and seemingly out of it. Now both are fighting the Steelers for a wild card berth.
The most difficult remaining games for the Texans: at Buffalo and Indianapolis and at home to the Patriots.
The most difficult remaining games for the Colts: at Pittsburgh and Miami and home games against the Texans and Buccaneers.
Quarterbacks coach Randy Fichtner has had a challenging season. He’s had to prepare game plans for three starting quarterbacks that have distinctly different skill sets.
Ben Roethlisberger, Mike Vick and Landry Jones have all started two games or more. But in the most recent game against Cleveland the game plan went totally out the window when Jones exited with an ankle injury and a limping Roethlisberger came on to take his place.
“You have to fit the guys with the things we do,” Fichtner said. “Mike Vick does things really well. Landry has things he does really well. Ben has things that he does really well. Todd Haley is trying to put it all together, and two series into the game, next thing you know you have to bring in another quarterback. That’s been the adjustment part.”
Roethlisberger could not play much under center. The coaches adjusted by running the no-huddle and calling plays out of the shotgun when they did huddle. The passing game flourished, but the running game did not without a quarterback under center.
One season after Roethlisberger played every snap, every quarterback has missed time with an injury. For Roethlisberger, it was a sprained knee and bone bruise. For Vick, it was a hamstring. And Jones had his aforementioned ankle injury.
“They have all got their opportunities, so they can’t say they haven’t,” he said. “But yes, I would say crazy is a good word with the injuries. But they have done a nice job of preparing for the week. They all work like they could be the starter so it’s not too big for them when they have to go in and play.”
*Steelers defensive line coach John Mitchell doesn’t have much depth behind starting ends Cam Heyward and Stephon Tuitt, but even if he did it doesn’t sound like he’d pull them off the field.
“I am really pleased with both of them. Cam has been here for a long time. Some of his work and study habits have rubbed off on Stephon. So those two guys, when they come to practice, they kind of compete individually and against one another. It’s a good twosome, and I am just hoping they can continue to get better. Both are really young guys right now.”
*The Patriots are undefeated and have overcome injuries at several key spots this season. But let’s see how they do without receiver Julian Edelman, who will miss the remainder of the regular season with a foot injury.
Edelman’s injury comes on the heels of the Patriots losing running back Dion Lewis for the season with a knee injury. The Patriots also have been shuffling offensive linemen in and out of the lineup due to injuries.
They’ve been good enough to get to 9-0, but it makes one wonder what a rematch against the Steelers would like in January. While the Patriots have lost key players in recent weeks the Steelers would add one the Patriots didn’t see in Martavis Bryant.
*Of course, the Steelers must make the playoffs first. That won’t be easy with four of the final six games on the road.